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  • Markets & Economy

The Impact of Sovereign Shocks

The authors investigate the interrelationships between macro-systems of governments and financial institutions by studying the dynamic propagation mechanisms of macroeconomic shocks.

  • Markets & Economy

Clues on the US Labor Market

Data on highly skilled (H-1B) foreign workers suggests that wage pressure in the US may be coming from the bottom end of the distribution more than the top.

  • Markets & Economy

Europe’s Worsening Fiscal Space

Europe’s fiscal outlook appears in some ways worse today than in March 2012, potentially raising the prospect of financial shocks and higher credit default risks.

  • Markets & Economy

Brexit Risk and Asset Volatility

An analysis of recent search volume shows that Brexit may affect assets related to longer-term economic effects more than assets tied to monetary policy.

  • Markets & Economy

An AI Approach to Fed Watching

Applying a natural language processing algo to Fed meeting minutes shows a sharp post-crisis rise in the amount of time the Fed spent discussing financial markets.

  • Markets & Economy

Another Greek Rock Roll

Greece again finds itself on an economic precipice, with CDS spreads nearing a level on par with last summer’s crisis. A look at potential short- and long-term consequences.